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Testing theft transmission in and around São Paulo metro stations, Brazil
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Urban Planning and Environment, Urban and Regional Studies.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9526-0267
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Urban Planning and Environment, Urban and Regional Studies.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5302-1698
2021 (English)In: Journal of Transport Geography, ISSN 0966-6923, E-ISSN 1873-1236, Vol. 94, p. 103116-, article id 103116Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Metro stations are criminogenic places that radiate and/or absorb crime. In this paper, we assess potential theft transmission in these places and their surrounding areas using police recorded data from the Sa similar to o Paulo metro system in Brazil. The study classifies whether metro stations are crime absorbers, crime radiators, or both, by time of day and day of the week. Time series data were used to test the empirical model (panel vector autoregressive) and Granger tests for temporal precedence. Findings show that 'theft waves' recorded in the metro stations often precede in time those that occur in the stations' surrounding areas. However, on weekdays, during off-peak hours, the opposite might happen: stations absorb some of the crime that spills over from criminogenic surrounding areas into the stations. Since there is evidence of transmission of crime from one environment to another, in both directions, better cooperation between police responsible for security in the surrounding areas and the metro security staff might improve crime prevention initiatives in these transit settings.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2021. Vol. 94, p. 103116-, article id 103116
Keywords [en]
Crime generator, Crime attractor, Granger tests, Underground, Police records
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics Other Legal Research Criminology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-299104DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2021.103116ISI: 000672821400014Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85107950066OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-299104DiVA, id: diva2:1582764
Note

QC 20210803

Available from: 2021-08-03 Created: 2021-08-03 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved

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Moreira, GustavoCeccato, Vania

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
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