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A New Combined PV Output Power Forecasting Model Based on Optimized LSTM Network
Eurac Research, Institute for Renewable Energy, Bolzano, Italy.
Graduate University of Advanced Technology, Institute of Science and High Technology and Environmental Sciences, Department of Energy Management and Optimization, Kerman, Iran.
University of Louisiana at Lafayette, Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Lafayette, LA, USA.
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Electrical Engineering, Electric Power and Energy Systems.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4763-9429
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Number of Authors: 62023 (English)In: 2023 IEEE IAS Global Conference on Emerging Technologies, GlobConET 2023, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2023Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

One of the most challenging problems in designing and implementing effective management strategies and demand responses in renewable-rich grids is the uncertainty associated with the power output (PO) of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. The exact and trustworthy prediction of PV power can provide substantial decision support for planning and operating power systems. This paper develops an intelligent PV output power (PV-OP) forecasting model. The proposed PV-OP forecasting model consists of an Improved Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (ICEEMDAN) signal decomposition model to decompose the original PV output power signal to different frequencies, LSTM neural network as a main forecaster engine, and multi-objective NSGA-II optimization algorithm as a hyperparameters optimizer. The developed PV power forecasting model was validated using the PV power datasets of an off-grid village located in Chalokwa, Zambia. The obtained results confirmed the performance and accuracy of the proposed PV output power forecasting model.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2023.
Keywords [en]
clustering, LSTM neural network, multi-objective optimization algorithm, PV output power forecasting
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-334524DOI: 10.1109/GlobConET56651.2023.10149975Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85164270323OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-334524DiVA, id: diva2:1790609
Conference
2023 IEEE IAS Global Conference on Emerging Technologies, GlobConET 2023, London, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, May 19 2023 - May 21 2023
Note

Part of ISBN 9798350331790

QC 20230823

Available from: 2023-08-23 Created: 2023-08-23 Last updated: 2023-08-23Bibliographically approved

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Bertling, Lina

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  • apa
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