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Deep learning for quadratic hedging in incomplete jump market
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Mathematics (Div.).ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1662-0215
Department of Mathematics, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5168-142X
Department of Mathematics, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
2024 (English)In: Digital Finance, ISSN 2524-6984, Vol. 6, no 3, p. 463-499Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We propose a deep learning approach to study the minimal variance pricing and hedging problem in an incomplete jump diffusion market. It is based on a rigorous stochastic calculus derivation of the optimal hedging portfolio, optimal option price, and the corresponding equivalent martingale measure through the means of the Stackelberg game approach. A deep learning algorithm based on the combination of the feed-forward and LSTM neural networks is tested on three different market models, two of which are incomplete. In contrast, the complete market Black–Scholes model serves as a benchmark for the algorithm’s performance. The results that indicate the algorithm’s good performance are presented and discussed. In particular, we apply our results to the special incomplete market model studied by Merton and give a detailed comparison between our results based on the minimal variance principle and the results obtained by Merton based on a different pricing principle. Using deep learning, we find that the minimal variance principle leads to typically higher option prices than those deduced from the Merton principle. On the other hand, the minimal variance principle leads to lower losses than the Merton principle.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2024. Vol. 6, no 3, p. 463-499
Keywords [en]
Option pricing, Incomplete market, Equivalent martingale measure, Merton model, Deep learning, LSTM
National Category
Computational Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-350816DOI: 10.1007/s42521-024-00112-5Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85207844647OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-350816DiVA, id: diva2:1885048
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2020-04697Swedish Research Council, 2020-04697
Note

QC 20240722

Available from: 2024-07-21 Created: 2024-07-21 Last updated: 2025-03-20Bibliographically approved

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Agram, NaciraØksendal, Bernt

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