kth.sePublications KTH
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Optimal adaptive decision rules in geotechnical construction considering uncertainty
Engineering Risk Analysis Group, Technische Universität München, München, Germany.
Engineering Risk Analysis Group, Technische Universität München, München, Germany; † Georg Nemetschek Institute Artificial Intelligence for the Built World, Technische Universität München, Garching bei München, Germany.
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Civil and Architectural Engineering, Soil and Rock Mechanics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5372-7519
Engineering Risk Analysis Group, Technische Universität München, München, Germany.
2024 (English)In: Geotechnique, ISSN 0016-8505, E-ISSN 1751-7656, Vol. 74, no 13, p. 1622-1633Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

To optimally design a geotechnical engineering structure, an iterative decision-making process is required due to the prevailing uncertainty of the ground conditions. At present, these decisions are taken based on simple deterministic rules and models. This paper proposes a risk-based decision-theoretic framework to the optimal planning for geotechnical construction. This framework combines geotechnical probabilistic models, cost analysis using Monte Carlo simulation and the observational method. The framework is illustrated on the design of the surcharge for an embankment on soft soil, whereby the optimal preloading sequence of added surcharge is adapted to the observed settlement. The approach balances the cost of surcharge material against financial penalties related to project delays and insufficient overconsolidation, which causes damage due to residual settlement. The result is a preloading strategy that optimally accounts for information obtained from settlement measurements under uncertain ground conditions. The findings highlight the potential of using risk-based decision planning in geotechnical engineering, in particular in combination with the observational method. For the investigated case-study, we observe a reduction in the expected cost in the order of 25%.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Emerald , 2024. Vol. 74, no 13, p. 1622-1633
Keywords [en]
embankments, observational method, planning & scheduling, preloading, risk & probability analysis, sequential decision problem
National Category
Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-350082DOI: 10.1680/jgeot.22.00408ISI: 001050298900001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85167793280OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-350082DiVA, id: diva2:1887357
Note

QC 20241219

Available from: 2024-08-07 Created: 2024-08-07 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Spross, Johan

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Spross, Johan
By organisation
Soil and Rock Mechanics
In the same journal
Geotechnique
Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 127 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf