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The role of multi-family properties in hedging pension liability risk: long-run evidence
Geneva School of Economics and Management, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland; University of Aberdeen Business School, Aberdeen, UK.
Geneva School of Economics and Management, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1205-2129
2024 (English)In: Journal of Property Investment & Finance, ISSN 1463-578X, E-ISSN 1470-2002, Vol. 42, no 1, p. 3-27Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Purpose: Using data spanning 145 years for Sweden, the authors investigate the benefits of holding multi-family properties for investors who aim to hedge wage growth. Design/methodology/approach: The authors assess the risk-adjusted excess return that results from adding multi-family properties to a mixed-asset portfolio that aims to track wage growth. The authors also analyse the macroeconomic determinants of asset returns. Finally, the authors test whether a causal relationship exists between the growth rate of real wages and that of real net operating income. Findings: The benefits from holding multi-family properties are the greatest for low-risk allocation approaches. For more risky strategies, the role of real estate is more muted, and it varies greatly over time. Holding real estate was most beneficial during the first two decades of the 21st century. Multi-family properties are found to be the only asset class to be positively related to wage growth. The authors show that the net operating income acts as the transmission channel between wages and property returns. Practical implications: The paper assesses whether the growing interest of pension funds for multi-family properties is warranted in the context of a portfolio that aims to track wage growth. Originality/value: Using long term data makes it possible to use a rolling windows approach and hence to consider multiple outcomes for an allocation strategy over a typical investment horizon. This permits to assess the dispersion of performance across several periods rather than just one as is commonly done in the literature. The results show that the conclusions that would be drawn from looking at the past two or three decades of data differ substantially from those for earlier time periods.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Emerald , 2024. Vol. 42, no 1, p. 3-27
Keywords [en]
Long run, Mixed-asset portfolio, Multi-family properties, Pension fund, Sweden, Wages
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-366971DOI: 10.1108/JPIF-04-2023-0035ISI: 001064819700001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85170547617OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-366971DiVA, id: diva2:1983904
Note

QC 20250714

Available from: 2025-07-14 Created: 2025-07-14 Last updated: 2025-07-14Bibliographically approved

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Lekander, Jon R. G. M.

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