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Deep learning for wildfire risk prediction: Integrating remote sensing and environmental data
Schulich School of Engineering, Department of Geomatics Engineering, University of Calgary, 2500 University Dr NW, Calgary, T2N1N4, Alberta, Canada; Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, 100 University Avenue, Waterloo, N2L3G1, Ontario, Canada.
Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, 100 University Avenue, Waterloo, N2L3G1, Ontario, Canada; Department of Systems Design Engineering, University of Waterloo, 100 University Avenue, Waterloo, N2L3G1, Ontario, Canada.
CEREA, ENPC, EDF R&D, Institut Polytechnique de Paris, Ile-de-France, France.
School of Emergency Management, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, 219 Ningliu Road, Nanjing, 210044, China.
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2025 (English)In: ISPRS journal of photogrammetry and remote sensing (Print), ISSN 0924-2716, E-ISSN 1872-8235, Vol. 227, p. 632-677Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Wildfires pose a significant threat to ecosystems, wildlife, and human communities, leading to habitat destruction, pollutant emissions, and biodiversity loss. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is crucial for mitigating these impacts and safeguarding both environmental and human health. This paper provides a comprehensive review of wildfire risk prediction methodologies, with a particular focus on deep learning approaches combined with remote sensing. We begin by defining wildfire risk and summarizing the geographical distribution of related studies. In terms of data, we analyze key predictive features, including fuel characteristics, meteorological and climatic conditions, socioeconomic factors, topography, and hydrology, while also reviewing publicly available wildfire prediction datasets derived from remote sensing. Additionally, we emphasize the importance of feature collinearity assessment and model interpretability to improve the understanding of prediction outcomes. Regarding methodology, we classify deep learning models into three primary categories: time-series forecasting, image segmentation, and spatiotemporal prediction, and further discuss methods for converting model outputs into risk classifications or probability-adjusted predictions. Finally, we identify the key challenges and limitations of current wildfire-risk prediction models and outline several research opportunities. These include integrating diverse remote sensing data, developing multimodal models, designing more computationally efficient architectures, and incorporating cross-disciplinary methods—such as coupling with numerical weather-prediction models—to enhance the accuracy and robustness of wildfire-risk assessments.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2025. Vol. 227, p. 632-677
Keywords [en]
Deep learning, Remote sensing, Review, Risk prediction, Wildfire
National Category
Earth Observation Artificial Intelligence
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-368895DOI: 10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2025.06.002ISI: 001528940300001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105009688076OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-368895DiVA, id: diva2:1991209
Note

QC 20250822

Available from: 2025-08-22 Created: 2025-08-22 Last updated: 2025-10-24Bibliographically approved

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Zhao, Yu

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