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Skor-Xg: Skeleton-Oriented Expected Goal Estimation in Soccer
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Intelligent systems, Robotics, Perception and Learning, RPL. Tracab, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0009-0000-4920-0829
Tracab, Stockholm, Sweden.
Tracab, Stockholm, Sweden.
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Intelligent systems, Robotics, Perception and Learning, RPL.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4266-6746
2025 (English)In: Proceedings - 2025 IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition Workshops, CVPRW 2025, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2025, p. 5957-5967Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

In this work, we present Skor-xG, which to the best of our knowledge is the first model to introduce 3D player skeletons into Expected Goal (x G) estimation. xG estimation is a fundamental task in soccer analytics that quantifies a shot's likelihood of scoring. Unlike existing x G models which primarily rely on engineered features from event data and 2D positional data, Skor-xG leverages detailed player postures to enhance shot evaluation. To effectively capture the complex interactions between player body parts and the ball, we propose a Graph Neural Networkbased framework that models each shot as a spatiotemporal graph. Experimental results demonstrate that incorporating skeleton data improves x G estimation compared to conventional approaches. As 3D player tracking technology becomes increasingly accessible, Skor-xG establishes skeleton data as a valuable new dimension in soccer analytics, enabling deeper tactical insights and more precise performance evaluation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2025. p. 5957-5967
National Category
Computer Sciences Computer Systems Signal Processing Computer Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-372342DOI: 10.1109/CVPRW67362.2025.00594Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105017859769OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-372342DiVA, id: diva2:2011900
Conference
2025 IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition Workshops, CVPRW 2025, Nashville, United States of America, June 11-12, 2025
Note

Part of ISBN 9798331599942

QC 20251106

Available from: 2025-11-06 Created: 2025-11-06 Last updated: 2025-11-06Bibliographically approved

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Xu, YizhouMaki, Atsuto

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