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Investigating the spillover effects of neighbouring housing rents on housing prices: evidence from Beijing, China
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management. KTH Royal Inst Technol, Dept Real Estate & Construct Management, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2478-3412
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management, Real Estate Economics and Finance.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9944-0510
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management, Real Estate Business and Financial Systems.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8745-7390
2025 (English)In: International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, ISSN 1753-8270, E-ISSN 1753-8289, Vol. 18, no 7, p. 87-110Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate the spillover effects of neighbouring rents on housing prices.Design methodology approachTreating neighbouring rents as a locational attribute, the authors estimate a price-rent hedonic model using owner-occupied and rental housing transactions from Beijing (2016-2018). In addition, the empirical model shows substantial robustness using instrumental variable-two-stage least squares estimation, Oster's selection-on-unobservables test and placebo tests.FindingsThe authors find that a 1% increase in one-quarter-lagged neighbouring rents raises sale prices by about 0.35% in OLS estimation, while the spillover is around 0.23% in instrumental variable (IV) estimation. Furthermore, rental spillovers are heterogeneous - stronger for mid-sized and newer housing units, outside school-district zones and in Chaoyang, Haidian and Shijingshan, while weaker in new-town areas. In addition, exploiting a late-2017 tightening of rental supply, the authors further show that the spillover intensifies thereafter.Practical implicationsThe findings highlight the interconnectedness of the rental and ownership markets and underscore the need for urban housing policy to consider the signals of the rental market.Social implicationsPolicies that optimize and professionalize rental supply can mitigate housing market volatility, moderate house price inflation and enhance market efficiency in transitional housing systems.Originality valueThe originality lies in regarding neighbourhood housing rents as a locational attribute of housing prices and investigating the neighbouring rental spillovers of housing rents.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Emerald , 2025. Vol. 18, no 7, p. 87-110
Keywords [en]
Rent or buy, Housing markets, Housing prices, Spillover effects, Rent, The hedonic model
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-376079DOI: 10.1108/IJHMA-05-2025-0123ISI: 001625035000001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105024723840OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-376079DiVA, id: diva2:2034705
Note

QC 20260202

Available from: 2026-02-02 Created: 2026-02-02 Last updated: 2026-02-02Bibliographically approved

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Song, ZishengWilhelmsson, MatsZalejska-Jonsson, Agnieszka

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