kth.sePublications KTH
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Convex Quadratic Programming-Based Predictors: An Algorithmic Framework and a Study of Possibilities and Computational Challenges
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.).
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Numerical Analysis, Optimization and Systems Theory.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6352-0968
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Numerical Analysis, Optimization and Systems Theory.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0299-5745
2026 (English)In: Learning and Intelligent Optimization - 19th International Conference, LION 19 2025, Proceedings, Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH , 2026, p. 191-202Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

We present a class of predictive models for forecasting time-series data, referred to as convex quadratic programming-based (CQPB) predictors. The predictions are computed from the minimizer of a convex quadratic problem, where previous observations are integrated as parameters. The remaining parameters, including constraints and objective coefficients, are trainable parameters. This work investigates the predictive capabilities of CQPB predictors and the computational challenges in their training. We analyze their properties and prove that this class of predictors includes classical autoregressive (AR) models, thus forming a generalization of AR models. The training problem is formulated as a bilevel optimization problem. To solve these training problems efficiently, we propose a two-stage heuristic algorithm based on the block coordinate descent approach. The results highlight the potential of CQPB predictors. Although training is challenging, our approach efficiently computes good solutions for moderate-size datasets.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH , 2026. p. 191-202
Keywords [en]
Bilevel optimization, Inverse optimization, Optimization-based predictive models, Time-series prediction
National Category
Control Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-376717DOI: 10.1007/978-3-032-09192-5_13Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105028355546OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-376717DiVA, id: diva2:2039703
Conference
19th International Conference on Learning and Intelligent Optimization, LION 2025, Prague, Czechia, June 15-19, 2025
Note

Part of ISBN 9783032091918

QC 20260218

Available from: 2026-02-18 Created: 2026-02-18 Last updated: 2026-02-18Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Gyllberg, LinnéaZhao, ShudianKronqvist, Jan

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Gyllberg, LinnéaZhao, ShudianKronqvist, Jan
By organisation
Mathematics (Dept.)Numerical Analysis, Optimization and Systems Theory
Control Engineering

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 27 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf