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Hydrology in the Age of Artificial Intelligence: From Fragmentation to Coherent Terrestrial Hydrosphere Science
Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0901-6987
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Sustainable development, Environmental science and Engineering, Water and Environmental Engineering. Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9408-4425
2026 (English)In: Water resources research, ISSN 0043-1397, E-ISSN 1944-7973, Vol. 62, no 2, article id e2026WR043509Article in journal, Editorial material (Other academic) Published
Abstract [en]

The rapid rise of machine learning (ML) in hydrology has prompted debate about the discipline's scientific relevance. While ML often outperforms traditional models in streamflow prediction, we argue that this reflects a deeper limitation: persistent fragmentation of hydrological science itself. Narrow focus on isolated components has hindered the development of coherent, scale-relevant understanding of the integrated terrestrial hydrosphere. This is illustrated, for example, by widely divergent estimates of groundwater–streamflow interactions and of water balance-implied ongoing storage changes. We argue that hydrology's future lies not in choosing between ML and physics, but in integrating data-driven and process-based approaches to advance consistent, realistic, and societally relevant understanding of the terrestrial hydrosphere and its multifaceted roles in the Earth System.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley and Sons Inc , 2026. Vol. 62, no 2, article id e2026WR043509
Keywords [en]
Coherence, hydrological science, integrated terrestrial hydrosphere, machine learning, machine learning-assisted process models, physics-based models
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-377182DOI: 10.1029/2026WR043509Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105028920108OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-377182DiVA, id: diva2:2041445
Note

QC 20260224

Available from: 2026-02-24 Created: 2026-02-24 Last updated: 2026-02-24Bibliographically approved

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