Time series modeling of market price in real-time biddingVise andre og tillknytning
2019 (engelsk)Inngår i: ESANN 2019 - Proceedings, 27th European Symposium on Artificial Neural Networks, Computational Intelligence and Machine Learning, ESANN , 2019, s. 643-648Konferansepaper, Publicerat paper (Fagfellevurdert)
Abstract [en]
Real-Time-Bidding (RTB) is one of the most popular online advertisement selling mechanisms. Modeling the highly dynamic bidding environment is crucial for making good bids. Market prices of auctions fluctuate heavily within short time spans. State-of-the-art methods neglect the temporal dependencies of bidders’ behaviors. In this paper, the bid requests are aggregated by time and the mean market price per aggregated segment is modeled as a time series. We show that the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural network outperforms the state-of-the-art univariate time series models by capturing the nonlinear temporal dependencies in the market price. We further improve the predicting performance by adding a summary of exogenous features from bid requests.
sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
ESANN , 2019. s. 643-648
Emneord [en]
Commerce, Machine learning, Time series, Dynamic biddings, Market price, Online advertisements, State of the art, State-of-the-art methods, Time series modeling, Time span, Univariate time series models, Long short-term memory
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-301579Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85071306494OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-301579DiVA, id: diva2:1593433
Konferanse
27th European Symposium on Artificial Neural Networks, Computational Intelligence and Machine Learning, ESANN 2019, 24 April 2019 through 26 April 2019
Merknad
Part of ISBN 9782875870650
QC 20210913
2021-09-132021-09-132024-03-11bibliografisk kontrollert