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Beyond Gut Feel: Using Time Series Transformers to Find Investment Gems
Motherbrain, EQT Group, Stockholm, Sweden.
KTH, Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS), Datavetenskap, Programvaruteknik och datorsystem, SCS. Motherbrain, EQT Group, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-6559-1521
Motherbrain, EQT Group, Stockholm, Sweden.
Motherbrain, EQT Group, Stockholm, Sweden; QA.tech, Stockholm, Sweden.
Vise andre og tillknytning
2024 (engelsk)Inngår i: Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning – ICANN 2024 - 33rd International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks, Proceedings, Springer Nature , 2024, s. 373-388Konferansepaper, Publicerat paper (Fagfellevurdert)
Abstract [en]

This paper addresses the growing application of data-driven approaches within the Private Equity (PE) industry, particularly in sourcing investment targets (i.e., companies) for Venture Capital (VC) and Growth Capital (GC). We present a comprehensive review of the relevant approaches and propose a novel approach leveraging a Transformer-based Multivariate Time Series Classifier (TMTSC) for predicting the success likelihood of any candidate company. The objective of our research is to optimize sourcing performance for VC and GC investments by formally defining the sourcing problem as a multivariate time series classification task. We consecutively introduce the key components of our implementation which collectively contribute to the successful application of TMTSC in VC/GC sourcing: input features, model architecture, optimization target, and investor-centric data processing. Our extensive experiments on two real-world investment tasks, benchmarked towards three popular baselines, demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in improving decision making within the VC and GC industry.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Springer Nature , 2024. s. 373-388
Emneord [en]
Company success prediction, Growth equity, Investment, Multivariate time series, Private equity, Venture capital
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-354663DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-72356-8_25ISI: 001331897800025Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85205307874OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-354663DiVA, id: diva2:1904559
Konferanse
33rd International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks, ICANN 2024, Lugano, Switzerland, September 17-20, 2024
Merknad

Part of ISBN 9783031723551

QC 20241205

Tilgjengelig fra: 2024-10-09 Laget: 2024-10-09 Sist oppdatert: 2025-12-05bibliografisk kontrollert

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Halvardsson, GustafHerman, Pawel

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Totalt: 135 treff
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