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The use of simulations in economic cybersecurity decision-making
Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Informat Secur & Commun Technol, Hgsk Ringen 1, N-7034 Trondheim, Norway.;RISE Res Inst Sweden, POB 1263, SE-16429 Kista, Sweden..
KTH, Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS), Människocentrerad teknologi, Medieteknik och interaktionsdesign, MID. RISE Res Inst Sweden, POB 1263, SE-16429 Kista, Sweden.;Swedish Def Univ, POB 27805, SE-11593 Stockholm, Sweden..ORCID-id: 0000-0003-2017-7914
2025 (engelsk)Inngår i: Journal of Cybersecurity, ISSN 2057-2085, Vol. 11, nr 1, artikkel-id tyaf003Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper presents an in-depth examination of the use of simulations in economic cybersecurity decision-making, highlighting the dual nature of their potential and the challenges they present. Drawing on examples from existing studies, we explore the role of simulations in generating new knowledge about probabilities and consequences in the cybersecurity domain, which is essential in understanding and managing risk and uncertainty. Additionally, we introduce the concepts of "bookkeeping" and "abstraction" within the context of simulations, discussing how they can sometimes fail and exploring the underlying reasons for their failures. This discussion leads us to suggest a framework of considerations for effectively utilizing simulations in cybersecurity. This framework is designed not as a rigid checklist but as a guide for critical thinking and evaluation, aiding users in assessing the suitability and reliability of a simulation model for a particular decision-making context. Future work should focus on applying this framework in real-world settings, continuously refining the use of simulations to ensure they remain effective and relevant in the dynamic field of cybersecurity.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Oxford University Press (OUP) , 2025. Vol. 11, nr 1, artikkel-id tyaf003
Emneord [en]
simulations, economics, decision-making under risk, decision-making under uncertainty, bias
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-360444DOI: 10.1093/cybsec/tyaf003ISI: 001419613000001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85218089039OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-360444DiVA, id: diva2:1940367
Merknad

QC 20250303

Tilgjengelig fra: 2025-02-26 Laget: 2025-02-26 Sist oppdatert: 2025-03-03bibliografisk kontrollert

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Totalt: 85 treff
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