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Information Length Quantification and Forecasting of Power Systems Kinetic Energy
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2022 (Engelska)Ingår i: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, ISSN 0885-8950, E-ISSN 1558-0679, Vol. 37, nr 6, s. 4473-4484Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

Power systems operation and planning are facing several short-coming challenges due to the large inclusion of non-synchronous generation and the constant expansion of the electrical network. One of these challenges corresponds to the monitoring and forecasting of power systems Kinetic Energy (KE) to show on-line additional information for the Transmission System Operators (TSOs). In view of this challenge, KE monitoring requires innovative methods to analyse the continuous fluctuations in the system. Moreover, KE forecasting can foresee the status of the strength to overcome further events. In this work, we propose the use of information theory (specifically the concept of information length) as a way to provide useful insight in the power system KE variability and to demonstrate its usage as a starting point in decision making for power systems management. Additionally, a short-period forecasting using a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural network model is proposed to estimate the value of information length in real time. The methodology is applied to a monthly collected data from the Nordic Power System. Results show that our method provides an effective description of the seasonal statistical variability. 

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Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2022. Vol. 37, nr 6, s. 4473-4484
Nyckelord [en]
Data Fluctuation Analysis, Entropy, Fluctuations, Forecasting, Information Length, Kinetic Energy Variability, Measurement, Power systems, Probability density function, Support Decision Tools, Time-series Forecasting, Wind power generation, Decision making, Electric power generation, Electric power transmission, Information management, Information use, Kinetic energy, Wind power, Data fluctuation analyse, Energy variability, Fluctuation, Fluctuation analysis, Power, Power system, Time series forecasting, Kinetics
Nationell ämneskategori
Energiteknik
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-320336DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2022.3146314ISI: 000871076600030Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85124106811OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-320336DiVA, id: diva2:1709974
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QC 20221110

Tillgänglig från: 2022-11-10 Skapad: 2022-11-10 Senast uppdaterad: 2023-07-26Bibliografiskt granskad

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Chamorro Vera, Harold Rene

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Chamorro Vera, Harold Rene
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IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
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