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Where will self-driving vehicles take us? Scenarios for the development of automated vehicles with sweden as a case study
KTH, School of Industrial Engineering and Management (ITM), Centres, Integrated Transport Research Lab, ITRL.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2011-6273
VTI Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Linköping, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3738-9318
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Transport Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9507-9185
2019 (English)In: Autonomous Vehicles and Future Mobility / [ed] Pierluigi Coppola, Domokos Esztergár-Kiss, Elsevier, 2019, 1Chapter in book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The development of Self-Driving Vehicles (SDVs) is fast, and SDVs are predicted to have the potential to change mobility, human life, and society. Several positive and negative effects of SDVs are listed in the literature, but as the effects can be both counteracting and reinforcing depending on actions taken by different stakeholders, it is difficult to predict the outcome. In this chapter a scenario planning method is used to identify certain and uncertain trends, and to draw four different but plausible future scenarios for the development of SDVs. The four scenarios create a platform for policy discussions, development of regulations, and decision-making of different stakeholders. Most importantly, it shows that the development of SDVs depends on decisions made today.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2019, 1.
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Research subject
Transport Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-249687DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-817696-2.00002-0ISI: 000578548600003Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85093490314OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-249687DiVA, id: diva2:1305544
Funder
Integrated Transport Research Lab (ITRL)
Note

QC 20190423

Available from: 2019-04-17 Created: 2019-04-17 Last updated: 2022-06-26Bibliographically approved

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Pernestål Brenden, AnnaKristoffersson, IdaMattsson, Lars-Göran

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CiteExportLink to record
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Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf