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Rental housing markets in Chinese megacities: Heterogeneity, Mobility, and Interconnectivity
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Real Estate and Construction Management.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2478-3412
2022 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The purpose of this thesis is to develop an in-depth understanding of the rental housing market in Chinese megacities. To achieve this purpose, this thesis mainly focuses on three aspects: heterogeneity, mobility, and interconnectivity. It begins with constructing segmented rental indices and identifying market segmentation in Beijing, China, in Paper 1. It then proceeds with an extensive discussion about the neighborhood effects on rents, mainly involving the capitalization of school quality and its differentiation over space and time, in Paper 2. Considering the aggregate housing market, it is also worth investigating the interconnectivity between rental and owner-occupied sectors as evaluated in Paper 3. As an important body in the rental sector, tenants' preferences and residential mobility are crucial for the housing market. To address this concern, this thesis utilizes a push-pull model to detect determinants of tenants' relocation intentions from megacities to other urban areas in Paper 4. 

 

Beijing is selected for empirical study throughout this thesis because it is a typical megacity and the capital of China. Beijing is characterized by a huge rental population (residents and migrants), strict control of household registration (namely hukou in China), competitive public sources and employment, unaffordable housing prices, etc. Thus, understanding the rental housing market in Beijing can shed light on implications in other megacities and larger cities. 

 

The findings of this thesis can contribute theoretically and empirically to the real world. Rental submarkets differ in housing quality and space. Well-constructed segmented rental indices can effectively reflect rent volatility across market segmentations and improve the transparency of the rental market. Besides, neighborhood quality schools can significantly capitalize rents. A higher capitalization of quality schools may indicate inequality between tenants and homeowners in access to quality schools. Also, rents can be significantly affected by housing prices. Apart from rents, this thesis evaluates many determinants of tenants' relocation decisions, such as the pushing force of the hukou system and rental dissatisfaction, and the pulling force of homeownership in certain destinations. 

Abstract [sv]

Syftet med denna avhandling är att utveckla en djupgående förståelse avhyresbostadsmarknaden i kinesiska megastäder. För att uppnå detta syfte fokuserar dennaavhandling huvudsakligen på tre aspekter: heterogenitet, mobilitet och interkonnektivitet. Denbörjar med att konstruera segmenterade hyresindex och identifiera marknadssegmentering iBeijing, Kina, i artikel 1. Därefter fortsätter den med en omfattande diskussion omgrannskapseffekterna på hyror, huvudsakligen beträffande kapitalisering av skolornas kvalitetoch dess differentiering över tid och rum, i artikel 2. När det gäller bostadsmarknaden i sinhelhet är det också värt att undersöka interkonnektiviteten mellan hyres- och ägarsektorn, någotsom utvärderas i artikel 3. Som en viktig faktor inom hyressektorn är hyresgästernas preferenseroch bostadsrörlighet avgörande för bostadsmarknaden. För att undersöka denna fråga använderdenna avhandling en push-pull-modell i analysen av de faktorer som påverkar hyresgästersavsikt att flytta från megastäder till andra städer i artikel 4.

Vidare väljs Beijing för de empiriska studierna i hela denna avhandling eftersom staden är entypisk megastad och Kinas huvudstad. Beijing kännetecknas av en enorm hyresbefolkning(fasta invånare och migranter), den striktaste kontrollen av hushållsregistrering (dvs. hukou iKina), konkurrens om offentliga resurser och sysselsättning, oöverkomliga bostadspriser etc.Förståelse av hyresbostadsmarknaden i Beijing kan således belysa implikationerna i andramegastäder och storstäder.

Resultaten i denna avhandling kan tjäna som teoretiska och empiriska bidrag till den verkligavärlden. Olika delar av hyresbostadsmarknaden kan skilja sig åt i bostadskvalitet och utrymme.Välkonstruerade segmenterade hyresindex kan effektivt återspegla hyresvolatiliteten mellanmarknadssegment och förbättra hyresmarknadens transparens. Dessutom bekräftas det attskolor av hög kvalitet i grannskapet kan kapitaliseras i form av hyror. Högre kapitalisering avskolor av god kvalitet kan indikera större ojämlikhet mellan hyresgäster och bostadsägare närdet gäller tillgång till skolor av god kvalitet. Hyrorna kan också påverkas avsevärt avhusprisutvecklingen. Förutom hyror utvärderar den här avhandlingen många faktorer sompåverkar hyresgästers flyttbeslut, såsom push-faktorn från hukou-systemet och missnöje medhyrd bostad och pull-faktorn från bostadsägande i destinationsorterna.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: KTH Royal Institute of Technology, 2022. , p. 58
Series
TRITA-ABE-DLT ; 2229
Keywords [en]
rental housing market, megacities, heterogeneity, residential mobility, interconnectivity, China
Keywords [sv]
hyresbostadsmarknad, megastäder, heterogenitet, bostadsmobilitet, interkonnektivitet, Kina
National Category
Construction Management
Research subject
Real Estate and Construction Management
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-312585ISBN: 978-91-8040-272-9 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-312585DiVA, id: diva2:1659581
Public defence
2022-06-13, Kollegiesalen, Brinellvägen 8, KTH Campus, https://kth-se.zoom.us/j/69310178069, Stockholm, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Note

QC220520

Available from: 2022-05-20 Created: 2022-05-20 Last updated: 2026-03-12Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. Constructing segmented rental housing indices: evidence from Beijing, China
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Constructing segmented rental housing indices: evidence from Beijing, China
2022 (English)In: Property Management, ISSN 0263-7472, E-ISSN 1758-731X, Vol. 40, no 3, p. 409-436Article in journal (Refereed) [Artistic work] Published
Abstract [en]

Purpose – This paper aims to construct rental housing indices and identify market segmentation for moreeffective property-management strategies.

Design/methodology/approach – The hedonic model was employed to construct the rental indices. Usingthe k-meansþþ and REDCAP (Regionalisation with Dynamically Constrained Agglomerative Clustering andPartitioning) approaches, the authors conducted clustering analysis and identified different marketsegmentation. The empirical study relied on the database of 80,212 actual rental transactions in Beijing,China, spanning 2016–2018.

Findings – Rental housing market segmentation may distribute across administrative boundaries. Properlysegmented indices could provide a better account for the heterogeneity and spatial continuity of rental housingand as well be crucial for effective property management.

Research limitations/implications – Residential rent might not only vary over space but also interplayswith housing price. It would be worth studying how the rental market functions together with the owneroccupied sector in the future.

Practical implications – Residential rental indices are of great importance for policymakers to be able toevaluate housing policies and for property managers to implement competitive strategies in the rental market. Their constructions largely depend on the analysis of market segmentation, a trade-off between housing spatialheterogeneity and continuity.

Originality/value – This paper fills the gap in knowledge concerning segmented rental indices construction,particularly in China. The spatial constrained clustering approach (REDCAP) was also initially introduced toidentify regionalised market segmentation due to its superior performance.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Emerald, 2022
Keywords
Property management, Rent index, Hedonic model, Cluster analysis, Market segmentation
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-312420 (URN)10.1108/pm-07-2021-0052 (DOI)000767345800001 ()2-s2.0-85126007141 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20220523

Available from: 2022-05-18 Created: 2022-05-18 Last updated: 2024-03-18Bibliographically approved
2. The Capitalization of School Quality in Rents in the Beijing Housing Market: A Propensity Score Matching Method
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The Capitalization of School Quality in Rents in the Beijing Housing Market: A Propensity Score Matching Method
2022 (English)In: Buildings, E-ISSN 2075-5309, Vol. 12, no 4, p. 485-485Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In China, the capitalization of education resources in housing prices has been widely discussed. However, insufficient attention is paid to it in rents. Thus, this paper mainly aims to identify the capitalization of school quality in rents. It estimates a hedonic treatment effects model by introducing the propensity score matching (PSM) method. The empirical analysis is based on 49,438 rental transaction data of 2016–2018 in Beijing, China. It finds that school quality can be significantly capitalized in rents across different school quality (ranked as 1st-class, 2nd-class, and popular-class), space, and time. Besides, quality school density (the number of quality schools) within neighborhoods can significantly moderate the nearest school’s capitalization, promoting a 3.5% capitalization increase in outer municipal districts but a 3% decrease in inner districts. The popular-class schools can be capitalized into the rent of inner districts, probably because of other exogenous factors (e.g., housing prices, public transit). In addition, the equitable housing policy might show a potential risk in worsening social inequality between homeowners and renters in the municipal areas with high competition for 1st-class schools. In contrast, it may remedy such inequality in outer districts with less competition for quality schools.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI AG, 2022
Keywords
moderating effects, neighborhood school density, propensity score matching (PSM) method, rent, school capitalization, spatial–temporal heterogeneity
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-312422 (URN)10.3390/buildings12040485 (DOI)000786277000001 ()2-s2.0-85129040440 (Scopus ID)
Note

QC 20220523

Available from: 2022-05-18 Created: 2022-05-18 Last updated: 2024-01-17Bibliographically approved
3. The relationship between owner-occupied housing prices and rental housing rents: evidence from Beijing, China
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The relationship between owner-occupied housing prices and rental housing rents: evidence from Beijing, China
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The relationship between housing prices or rents with other economic factors has been widely analysed. However, few studies use cross-sectional data to analyse the relationship between owner-occupied and rental housing sectors. This paper aims to develop a cross-sectional rent-price model and estimate the interconnected relationship between different market segments. Based on the transactional data of owner-occupied and rental housing in 2015–2018 in Beijing, China, we empirically conduct analyses of cross-sectional rent-price interconnectivity in total housing markets and segments such as housing size and school district. As expected, we find a bi-directional relationship between prices and rents in Beijing that goes in both directions, indicating that housing of different tenures substitute each other, and substitutional effects are significantly different across submarkets. Condominium prices have a more significant impact on rents than vice versa.

Keywords
rents, owner-occupied housing prices, housing subsectors’ relationship
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-312116 (URN)
Note

QC 20220607

Available from: 2022-05-11 Created: 2022-05-11 Last updated: 2022-06-25Bibliographically approved
4. Effects of residential push-pull factors on tenants' intentions to relocate from megacities: Evidence from a Beijing, China survey
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Effects of residential push-pull factors on tenants' intentions to relocate from megacities: Evidence from a Beijing, China survey
2022 (English)In: Article in journal (Other academic) Submitted
Abstract [en]

In China, tenants' residential relocations always present diverse spatial-temporal tendencies and are highly influenced by disadvantages of origin (push) and attractiveness of destination (pull). This paper aims to construct a relocation intention (RI) model and estimate the effects of residential push–pull factors on tenants' RI, such as the household registration system (hukou), homeownership status, and residential dissatisfaction. The empirical research relies on a questionnaire-based survey of 2,187 tenants conducted in 2019 in Beijing, China. Our findings confirm that non-local hukou status significantly pushes female and unmarried tenants to relocate, and non-local homeownership noticeably pulls male and married tenants' relocation. These two factors also significantly influence the RI of tenants without higher education. For tenants younger than 35, non-local hukou status shows a strong pushing force, but non-local homeownership does not present notable differences by age. Additionally, residential dissatisfaction significantly pushes tenants' RI and has a moderating effect on non-local homeownership. Moreover, for tenants who have explicit relocation intentions, non-local hukou status plays a vital role in shortening their intended stay before their actual relocation. 

Keywords
tenants' relocation intention; push–pull determinants; hukou; non-local homeownership; China
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-312446 (URN)
Note

QC 20220530

Available from: 2022-05-18 Created: 2022-05-18 Last updated: 2022-06-25Bibliographically approved

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