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Recursive Learning of Asymptotic Variational Objectives
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.).ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9380-1197
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Probability, Mathematical Physics and Statistics.
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Mathematics (Dept.), Probability, Mathematical Physics and Statistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0772-846X
2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the 28th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, AISTATS 2025, ML Research Press , 2025, p. 1432-1440Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

General state-space models (SSMs) are widely used in statistical machine learning and are among the most classical generative models for sequential time-series data. SSMs, comprising latent Markovian states, can be subjected to variational inference (VI), but standard VI methods like the importance-weighted autoencoder (IWAE) lack functionality for streaming data. To enable online VI in SSMs when the observations are received in real time, we propose maximising an IWAE-type variational lower bound on the asymptotic contrast function, rather than the standard IWAE ELBO, using stochastic approximation. Unlike the recursive maximum likelihood method, which directly maximises the asymptotic contrast, our approach, called online sequential IWAE (OSIWAE), allows for online learning of both model parameters and a Markovian recognition model for inferring latent states. By approximating filter state posteriors and their derivatives using sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, we create a particle-based framework for online VI in SSMs. This approach is more theoretically well-founded than recently proposed online variational SMC methods. We provide rigorous theoretical results on the learning objective and a numerical study demonstrating the method's efficiency in learning model parameters and particle proposal kernels.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
ML Research Press , 2025. p. 1432-1440
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Control Engineering Computer Sciences Computer Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-370309Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105014328961OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-370309DiVA, id: diva2:2000820
Conference
28th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, AISTATS 2025, Mai Khao, Thailand, May 3 2025 - May 5 2025
Note

QC 20250925

Not duplicate with DiVA 1911260

Available from: 2025-09-25 Created: 2025-09-25 Last updated: 2025-09-25Bibliographically approved

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Mastrototaro, AlessandroMüller, MathiasOlsson, Jimmy

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