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A Gaussian Process-Regularized Graphical Learning Method for Distribution System State Estimation Using Extremely Scarce State Variable Labels
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Electrical Engineering, Electric Power and Energy Systems.
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Electrical Engineering, Electric Power and Energy Systems.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2793-9048
2025 (English)In: IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, ISSN 1949-3053, E-ISSN 1949-3061, Vol. 16, no 4, p. 3359-3376Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Learning-based distribution system state estimation (DSSE) methods typically depend on sufficient fully labeled data to construct mapping functions. However, collecting historical labels (state variables) can be challenging and costly in practice, resulting in performance degradation for these methods. To fully leverage low-cost unlabeled historical measurement data, this article proposes a Gaussian process (GP)-regularized semi-supervised learning method for DSSE models, aiming at achieving feasible estimation precision using minimal state variable labels while also providing valuable interval estimation of state variables. Firstly, a structure-informed graphical encoder is established to generate appropriate node embeddings. A tailored GP-regularized learning method is then developed to model the intermediate latent space using these embeddings. It constructs the unlabeled embeddings by a weighted combination of labeled space vectors, with the weights determined by a kernel function, thereby forming additional supervision and regularizing the learning process of the network in the latent space. The regularized embeddings are then fed into a decoder to yield estimation outcomes. This procedure enables the proposed method to model intrinsic correlations across measurement data, as well as capture essential patterns related to DSSE even using extremely limited state labels. The trained DSSE models can thus adapt to the domain of new measurements. Lastly, the decoder outcomes and related latent embeddings are processed through a composite GP kernel to further derive the interval estimation of state variables, enabling uncertainty quantification. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in handling extremely limited historical state labels and accurately quantifying the uncertainty of state variables.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2025. Vol. 16, no 4, p. 3359-3376
Keywords [en]
Estimation, Learning systems, Data models, State estimation, Training, Topology, Biological system modeling, Adaptation models, Uncertainty, Kernel, Distribution system state estimation, semi-supervised learning, Gaussian process, interval state estimation
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-370251DOI: 10.1109/TSG.2025.3552958ISI: 001516515600025Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105001323768OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-370251DiVA, id: diva2:2007904
Note

QC 20251021

Available from: 2025-10-21 Created: 2025-10-21 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved

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Hu, JiaxiangXu, Qianwen

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