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One-Step Generation in Traffic Forecasting with Flow-Based Models
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Civil and Architectural Engineering, Transport planning.ORCID iD: 0009-0006-5848-4433
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Civil and Architectural Engineering, Transport planning.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5526-4511
2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Big Data, BigData, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2025, p. 5287-5292Conference paper, Published paper (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Accurate traffic forecasting plays an indispensable role in modern Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). Recent years have witnessed significant advancements in the modeling capabilities and inference efficiency of continuous-time generative models, which learn a dynamic system to transform a simple prior distribution into the target data distribution. Motivated by the emerging generative paradigm, we rethink the traffic forecasting task from the perspective of flow matching. Specifically, we propose to learn a velocity field that transports samples from a prior distribution to the distribution of future traffic values. We introduce two flow matching models based on different assumptions on prior distribution: the commonly used standard Gaussian distribution and the distribution of the historical traffic values. Furthermore, our approach incorporates the latest mean flow techniques to enable one-step generation, ensuring simplicity and high efficiency in both training and inference phases. In experiment on real world data, our proposed models demonstrate desirable performance.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2025. p. 5287-5292
Keywords [en]
flow matching, generative model, spatial-temporal forecasting, traffic forecasting
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Computer Sciences Other Computer and Information Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-382391DOI: 10.1109/BigData66926.2025.11401816Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105037816428OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-382391DiVA, id: diva2:2064017
Conference
2025 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, BigData 2025, Macau, China, Dec 8 2025 - Dec 11 2025
Note

QC 20260601

Available from: 2026-06-01 Created: 2026-06-01 Last updated: 2026-06-01Bibliographically approved

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Chi, PengnanMa, Xiaoliang

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

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Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf