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A flexible Bayesian framework for atomic masses by locally inferring configuration mixing
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Physics, Nuclear Science and Engineering.ORCID iD: 0009-0002-2008-1250
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Physics, Nuclear Science and Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1406-5695
2026 (English)In: Communications Physics, E-ISSN 2399-3650, Vol. 9, no 1, article id 143Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Accurate modeling of atomic masses with reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for understanding heavy-element production in astrophysical environments. This remains challenging because uncertainties arise not only from model parameters but also from structural limitations, often leading to underestimation when extrapolating beyond known nuclei. Here, we introduce SPICE, a probabilistic nuclear mass model that uses local Bayesian averaging to emulate mixing between low-lying nuclear configurations within a shell-model-inspired framework. By incorporating configurations associated with excitations across harmonic-oscillator and spin-orbit major shells, the model achieves root-mean-square deviations of about 500 keV with only 10-13 parameters. Our results show that local configuration mixing improves predictive accuracy and provides insight into evolving shell structure in neutron- and proton-rich regions, with potential extensions to include configuration mixing effects from non-orthogonal configurations.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2026. Vol. 9, no 1, article id 143
National Category
Subatomic Physics Probability Theory and Statistics Physical Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-383211DOI: 10.1038/s42005-026-02636-1ISI: 001747568300001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105036413322OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-383211DiVA, id: diva2:2068287
Note

QC 20260609

Available from: 2026-06-09 Created: 2026-06-09 Last updated: 2026-06-09Bibliographically approved

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Storbacka, MelvinQi, Chong

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