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A procedure for rule extraction from a Self-Organising plasma disruption predictor for JET
Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy.
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Electromagnetics and Plasma Physics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3280-2361
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Electromagnetics and Plasma Physics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7796-1887
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Electromagnetics and Plasma Physics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9901-6296
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Number of Authors: 14732026 (English)In: Scientific Reports, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 16, no 1, article id 16931Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In a previous paper, a Self-Organizing Map had proven to be able to identify the regions of the plasma operative space characterizing the pre-disruptive phase at JET without relying on any a priori information. One of the strengths of this disruption predictor lies in its inherent self-organization capability. The Self-Organizing Map discovers non-trivial relationships and captures the complicated interplay of device diagnostics on the internal plasma states directly from the experimental data. Moreover, the provided model allows the visualization of high-dimensional plasma parameters and facilitates easy interrogation of the model to understand the reasons behind its correlations. In this paper, an additional step is taken towards the interpretability of models for predicting disruptions by training a Decision Tree to classify the plasma states according to the interpretation provided by the Self-Organizing Map (stable or at high risk of disruptions). The Decision tree provides a set of rules which describe the transition of the plasma towards the pre-disruptive phase as visualized in the Self-Organizing Map. The obtained rules for the database explored in the study identify four regions in the map, two of which are at risk of disruption. These regions correspond to partitions of a 3D space based on the peaking factors of the core and divertor radiation, as well as the Locked Mode. The agreement between the Self-Organizing Map answers and the rules supplied by the Decision Tree is confirmed by the comparison of the performance exhibited by the two models in the prediction of disruptions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2026. Vol. 16, no 1, article id 16931
National Category
Fusion, Plasma and Space Physics Subatomic Physics
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URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-383811DOI: 10.1038/s41598-026-38318-9ISI: 001800377500001PubMedID: 41963372Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105040919505OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-383811DiVA, id: diva2:2082981
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QC 20260701

Available from: 2026-07-01 Created: 2026-07-01 Last updated: 2026-07-01Bibliographically approved

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Zaar, BjörnVignitchouk, LadislasRubel, MarekRatynskaia, Svetlana V.Petersson, PerPaschalidis, KonstantinosNyström, HampusMoon, SunwooJohnson, Thomas DavidHoppe, MathiasFrassinetti, LorenzoDittrich, LauraBähner, Lukas

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Zaar, BjörnVignitchouk, LadislasRubel, MarekRatynskaia, Svetlana V.Petersson, PerPaschalidis, KonstantinosNyström, HampusMoon, SunwooJohnson, Thomas DavidHoppe, MathiasFrassinetti, LorenzoDittrich, LauraBähner, LukasTolias, Panagiotis
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Electromagnetics and Plasma Physics
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Scientific Reports
Fusion, Plasma and Space PhysicsSubatomic Physics

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