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Use of Bayesian Polynomial Regression Methods to Model Uncertainty in Few-group Cross-section Libraries
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Physics, Nuclear Science and Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4704-883X
KTH, School of Engineering Sciences (SCI), Physics, Nuclear Science and Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7943-7517
2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Mathematics and Computational Methods Applied to Nuclear Science and Engineering, M and C 2025, American Nuclear Society , 2025, p. 762-771Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Nodal few-group cross-section representation models are used to generate estimates of cross-section parameters for nodal codes as a function of various state parameters. In this work we present a feasibility study for constructing representational models which provide mean and covariance estimates of these parameters. We consider two sources of uncertainty in the model predictions, namely the uncertainty due to randomized nuclear data during the lattice calculation and the uncertainty in the model parameters. To handle these uncertainties, we investigate the use of parametric polynomial regression models and parametric Bayesian polynomial regression models. These methods are tested on a typical training set of cross-section parameters for pressurized water reactor analysis.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
American Nuclear Society , 2025. p. 762-771
Keywords [en]
Bayesian polynomial regression, Nodal data representation, machine learning
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-385665DOI: 10.13182/MC25-47066Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105010225992OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-385665DiVA, id: diva2:2087581
Conference
2025 International Conference on Mathematics and Computational Methods Applied to Nuclear Science and Engineering, M and C 2025, Denver, United States, Apr 27 2025 - Apr 30 2025
Note

Part of ISBN 9780894482229

QC 20260721

Available from: 2026-07-21 Created: 2026-07-21 Last updated: 2026-07-21Bibliographically approved

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Chan, Yi MengDufek, Jan

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CiteExportLink to record
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Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf