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Low-carbon scenarios for long-distance travel 2060
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Sustainable development, Environmental science and Engineering, Strategic Sustainability Studies.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8852-5458
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Sustainable development, Environmental science and Engineering, Strategic Sustainability Studies. Mid Sweden Univ, Dept Ecotechnol & Sustainable Bldg Engn, SE-83125 Östersund, Sweden..ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3111-1718
Chalmers Univ Technol, Dept Space Earth & Environm, SE-41296 Gothenburg, Sweden..
Chalmers Univ Technol, Dept Space Earth & Environm, SE-41296 Gothenburg, Sweden..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1564-8585
2021 (English)In: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, ISSN 1361-9209, E-ISSN 1879-2340, Vol. 99, article id 103010Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In many industrialised countries, the climate impact from long-distance travel is greater than that from short-distance travel. In this paper, we present five scenarios for long-distance travel in 2060, which are consistent with a 67% probability of limiting global warming to 1.8 degrees. The scenarios concern travel by the Swedish population, but per capita travel volume and fuel use could be generalised globally. A key result is that all scenarios require reductions in Swedish per capita air travel in the range of 38-59% compared to 2017. The direct effect on air travel of implementing a high-speed rail network in Sweden and Northern Europe was found to be modest. A higher emission reduction could be achieved if mixed mode trips comprising rail and air legs were more widely adopted. Finally, the pros and cons of future aviation fuels are discussed, the main candidates being biofuel, electrofuel, and liquid hydrogen.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2021. Vol. 99, article id 103010
Keywords [en]
Long-distance travel, Air travel, Tourism, Climate, Fuels, High-speed rail
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-303532DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2021.103010ISI: 000701879500006Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85114093786OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-303532DiVA, id: diva2:1642513
Note

QC 20220307

Available from: 2022-03-07 Created: 2022-03-07 Last updated: 2023-12-07Bibliographically approved

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Åkerman, JonasKamb, Anneli

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