Econometric Modeling of Intraday Electricity Market Price with Inadequate Historical Data
2022 (English)In: 2022 IEEE Workshop on Complexity in Engineering, COMPENG 2022, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2022Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]
The intraday (ID) electricity market has received an increasing attention in the recent EU electricity-market discussions. This is partly because the uncertainty in the underlying power system is growing and the ID market provides an adjustment platform to deal with such uncertainties. Hence, market participants need a proper ID market price model to optimally adjust their positions by trading in the market. Inadequate historical data for ID market price makes it more challenging to model. This paper proposes long short-term memory, deep convolutional generative adversarial networks, and No-U-Turn sampler algorithms to model ID market prices. Our proposed econometric ID market price models are applied to the Nordic ID price data and their promising performance are illustrated.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2022.
Keywords [en]
Deep convolutional generative adversarial networks, intraday electricity market, intraday price modeling, long short term memory, No-U-Turn sampler, Brain, Convolution, Electric industry, Long short-term memory, Power markets, Deep convolutional generative adversarial network, Econometric modelling, Historical data, Market price, Power, Price models, Uncertainty, Generative adversarial networks
National Category
Economics and Business Energy Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-328958DOI: 10.1109/COMPENG50184.2022.9905434ISI: 001427034900007Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85141039174OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-328958DiVA, id: diva2:1767322
Conference
2022 IEEE Workshop on Complexity in Engineering, COMPENG 2022, Florence, Italy, 18-20 July 2022
Note
QC 20230614
2023-06-142023-06-142025-12-08Bibliographically approved