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Feedback Design for Devising Optimal Epidemic Control Policies
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Intelligent systems, Decision and Control Systems (Automatic Control). KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Centres, Digital futures. LIDS, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7932-3109
Elmore Family School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Purdue University, IN, USA.
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Intelligent systems, Decision and Control Systems (Automatic Control). KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Centres, Digital futures.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9940-5929
2023 (English)In: IFAC-PapersOnLine, Elsevier BV , 2023, Vol. 56, p. 4031-4036Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This paper proposes a feedback design that effectively copes with uncertainties for reliable epidemic monitoring and control. There are several optimization-based methods to estimate the parameters of an epidemic model by utilizing past reported data. However, due to the possibility of noise in the data, the estimated parameters may not be accurate, thereby exacerbating the model uncertainty. To address this issue, we provide an observer design that enables robust state estimation of epidemic processes, even in the presence of uncertain models and noisy measurements. Using the estimated model and state, we then devise optimal control policies by minimizing a predicted cost functional. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach, we implement it on a modified SIR epidemic model. The results show that our proposed method is efficient in mitigating the uncertainties that may arise.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2023. Vol. 56, p. 4031-4036
National Category
Control Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-343689DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2023.10.1719ISI: 001196709200151Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85184961970OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-343689DiVA, id: diva2:1839883
Conference
22nd IFAC World Congress, July 9-14, 2023, Yokohama, Japan
Note

Part of ISBN 9781713872344

QC 20250923

Available from: 2024-02-22 Created: 2024-02-22 Last updated: 2025-09-23Bibliographically approved

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Niazi, Muhammad Umar B.Johansson, Karl H.

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CiteExportLink to record
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Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf