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Analytical Survival Analysis of the Non-autonomous Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process
Nordita SU.
Pukyong Natl Univ, Dept Environm Atmospher Sci, 45 Yongsoro, Busan 48513, South Korea..
KTH, Centres, Nordic Institute for Theoretical Physics NORDITA. ;Stockholm Univ, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden.;Yale Univ, New Haven, CT 06520 USA..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1676-9645
2024 (English)In: Journal of statistical physics, ISSN 0022-4715, E-ISSN 1572-9613, Vol. 191, no 10, article id 138Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The survival probability for a periodic non-autonomous Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is calculated analytically using two different methods. The first uses an asymptotic approach. We treat the associated Kolmogorov Backward Equation with an absorbing boundary by dividing the domain into an interior region, centered around the origin, and a "boundary layer" near the absorbing boundary. In each region we determine the leading-order analytical solutions, and construct a uniformly valid solution over the entire domain using asymptotic matching. In the second method we examine the integral relationship between the probability density function and the mean first passage time probability density function. These allow us to determine approximate analytical forms for the exit rate. The validity of the solutions derived from both methods is assessed numerically, and we find the asymptotic method to be superior.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2024. Vol. 191, no 10, article id 138
Keywords [en]
Survival probability, Non-autonomous Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, Fokker-Planck equation, Asymptotics
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-355784DOI: 10.1007/s10955-024-03355-zISI: 001338492800002Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85207476206OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-355784DiVA, id: diva2:1910185
Note

QC 20241104

Available from: 2024-11-04 Created: 2024-11-04 Last updated: 2024-11-04Bibliographically approved

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Wettlaufer, John

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