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A method for quantifying uncertainty in stress domain boundaries
Univ Toronto, Dept Civil & Mineral Engn, Toronto, ON, Canada..
Univ Toronto, Dept Civil & Mineral Engn, Toronto, ON, Canada..
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Civil and Architectural Engineering, Soil and Rock Mechanics. Swedish Nucl Fuel & Waste Management Co, SKB, Solna, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4399-9534
Nucl Waste Management Org NWMO, Toronto, ON, Canada..
2024 (English)In: New Challenges in Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering, EUROCK 2024 / [ed] Tomas, R Cano, M Riquelme, A Pastor, JL Benavente, D Ordonez, S, CRC Press , 2024, p. 419-425Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

It is necessary to obtain reliable estimates of the in situ stress state for the design of any underground engineering project in rock, but it is of paramount importance for safety-critical projects such as deep geological repositories for nuclear waste. It is widely considered that in situ stress is a function of depth below ground surface. This often leads to rock masses being partitioned into depth-based domains, but there are no universally agreed and statistically robust methods for doing so. In this paper we present a novel method that uses Bayesian linear segmented regression of Cartesian stress components to probabilistically characterize the variability and uncertainty in the depth of non-crisp stress domain boundaries, and the in situ stress state within each domain. We demonstrate the efficacy of the method using synthetically generated stress data, and then apply the method to overcoring stress measurements obtained at the Forsmark site in Sweden.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
CRC Press , 2024. p. 419-425
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-355802DOI: 10.1201/9781003429234-59ISI: 001310272000059Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85200422264OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-355802DiVA, id: diva2:1910519
Conference
ISRM European Rock Mechanics Symposium, JUL 15-19, 2024, Alicante, SPAIN
Note

Part of ISBN 978-1-032-55145-6, 978-1-003-42923-4, 978-1-032-55144-9

QC 20241105

Available from: 2024-11-05 Created: 2024-11-05 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved

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Ivars, Diego Mas

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