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Planning for transformative change with nature-based solutions: a geodesign application in Stockholm
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Urban Planning and Environment. Institute of Geography, Ruhr University Bochum, Universitätsstr. 150 44805 Bochum, Germany: GLOMOS - Centre for Global Mountain Safeguard Research & Institute for Alpine Environment, Eurac Research, Bolzano, Italy.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1377-565X
Department of Civil, Environmental & Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento 38123 Trento, Italy.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9612-4731
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Sustainable development, Environmental science and Engineering, Sustainability Assessment and Management. (Environmental Management and Assessment)ORCID iD: 0009-0001-7402-182X
Institute of Geography, Ruhr University Bochum, Universitätsstr. 150 44805 Bochum, Germany; Leibniz Universität Hanover, Institute of Environmental Planning, Herrenhäuser Str. 2 30419 Hanover, Germany.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5344-9800
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2025 (English)In: Landscape and Urban Planning, ISSN 0169-2046, E-ISSN 1872-6062, Vol. 257, article id 105303Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Advancing towards urban futures in which both human communities and ecosystems can thrive requires transformative change (TC). Spatial planning can serve as a backbone for inspiring and fostering the desired transformation of cities. However, to support this transformation, the challenge for spatial planning is to create unconventional plans that account for the complex trade-offs and interactions of different scenarios through participatory procedures. A promising approach for addressing this challenge is geodesign, since it couples spatial co-design with impact simulations. This paper aims to explore how, and with what effects, a geodesign process can support the co-creation of transformative urban plans that enhance biodiversity and ecosystem services while meeting urban development goals. A geodesign process was developed and deployed for a case study neighbourhood in Stockholm, Sweden. Two scenario storylines were developed: one that follows the current city plan, and another one where the most transformative elements of the plan are further emphasized. Fourteen planning stakeholders divided into three groups translated the storylines into actual land use changes and explored the impacts of the two scenarios. The study findings indicate that the geodesign process enabled participants to develop transformative plans that address housing needs while also promoting biodiversity and ecosystem services through nature-based solutions. Participants showed high perceived desirability of TC scenarios in Skarpnäck but were mostly sceptical regarding the plausibility and probability of future implementation. Changes in perceived plausibility, desirability and probability comparing before and after the geodesign process were minor, with some inter-group variation. We recommend practical applications of geodesign to strategically involve key stakeholders throughout study conceptualization, scenario development, and model generation for better consideration of context. Enhancing geodesign tools for userfriendliness is also crucial. We suggest geodesign research to focus more on understanding its impacts on participants as well as scaling up for addressing complex challenges in metropolitan and landscape planning.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2025. Vol. 257, article id 105303
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Land and Water Resources Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-357963DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2025.105303ISI: 001408005800001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85215623839OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-357963DiVA, id: diva2:1923289
Projects
REPLAN
Funder
Swedish Research Council Formas, 2021-00054StandUp
Note

QC 20250226

Available from: 2024-12-21 Created: 2024-12-21 Last updated: 2026-01-20Bibliographically approved

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Adem Esmail, BlalCortinovis, ChiaraBast, SigvardSuleiman, LinaMörtberg, Ulla

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