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Dynamic Recursive Logit Model for Vehicle Driving Route Choices and Path Inference With Incomplete Fixed Location Sensor Data
Southeast Univ, Sch Transportat, Nanjing 211189, Peoples R China..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4356-1145
Southeast Univ, Sch Transportat, Nanjing 211189, Peoples R China..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5936-2116
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Civil and Architectural Engineering, Transport planning.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2141-0389
Southeast Univ, Sch Transportat, Nanjing 211189, Peoples R China..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9614-4417
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2024 (English)In: IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ISSN 1524-9050, E-ISSN 1558-0016, Vol. 25, no 12, p. 19929-19942Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper studies the estimation of dynamic route choice behavior of drivers with incomplete fixed location-based sensor data, such as radio frequency identification (RFID) data. Unlike global positioning system (GPS) data providing continuous vehicle trajectories, the location-based RFID sensors record vehicles only when they pass by but may not record all vehicles. These bring challenges for route choice modeling since empty sensor observations will also influence the likelihood of routes that do not cross these sensors. Also, it requires the essential integration of dynamic traffic conditions into the modeling process as observation paths may share the same sensor detection sequence but exhibit different travel times. To address these challenges, the paper proposes a dynamic recursive logit model to estimate vehicle route choices with RFID data, enabling the characterization of the likelihood function of sensor observation paths without the need for path enumeration between consecutive detections. Also, we develop a probabilistic dynamic link utilization estimation method to infer the actual path of each vehicle from the available sensor observations. It serves as a validation process to ensure that the route choice behavior can comprehensively reflect traffic flow dynamics. The proposed methods are evaluated using both a simulated dataset on the Sioux Falls network and a collection of real-world RFID data in Chongqing, China. The simulation results show that the proposed method can recover true choice parameters and perform significantly better compared with static models. The real-world experimental results highlight its efficacy in aggregated link flow prediction and individual trajectory reconstruction.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2024. Vol. 25, no 12, p. 19929-19942
Keywords [en]
Route choice behavior, recursive logit model, traffic dynamics, link flow prediction, RFID data
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics Control Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-359947DOI: 10.1109/TITS.2024.3477464ISI: 001396974000050Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85207970720OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-359947DiVA, id: diva2:1937228
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QC 20250212

Available from: 2025-02-12 Created: 2025-02-12 Last updated: 2025-08-28Bibliographically approved

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Ma, Zhenliang

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