kth.sePublications KTH
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Forecasting masked-load with invisible distributed energy resources based on transfer learning and Bayesian tuning
Nanyang Technol Univ, Interdisciplinary Grad Sch, Singapore, Singapore.
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Intelligent systems, Information Science and Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9096-8792
Nanyang Technol Univ, Sch Elect & Elect Engn, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0503-183X
2024 (English)In: Energy Conversion and Economics, ISSN 2634-1581, Vol. 5, no 5, p. 316-326Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Load forecasting with distributed energy resources (DERs) behind-the-meter is more challenging owing to transformed data patterns. Traditional forecasting method which is only based on unmasked-load could not suit the present limited masked-load. To bridge the divergence between unmasked-load and masked-load, this article proposes a masked-load forecasting (MLF) method based on transfer learning technique and Bayesian optimization, which is Maximum Mean Discrepancy-Neural Network with Bayesian optimization (MMD-NNb). At first, common feature vectors between unmasked-load and masked-load are extracted and an outcome predictor could be established based on feature vectors from historical unmasked-load. The feature vectors from masked-load could therefore accommodate to the outcome predictor, and the masked-load could be forecast. Owing to the excessive hyperparameters involved in training, Bayesian optimization is adopted for hyperparameters fine-tuning. MMD-NNb was tested and compared with four related models. The improvements from MMD-NNb were observed in all comparison scenarios. Also, MMD-NNb was proved to have high resilience to the different DERs and not requiring additional DERs-data.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institution of Engineering and Technology (IET) , 2024. Vol. 5, no 5, p. 316-326
Keywords [en]
Bayesian optimization, distributed energy resources, load forecasting, masked-load, transfer learning
National Category
Mathematical sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-364242DOI: 10.1049/enc2.12130ISI: 001474148900001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-364242DiVA, id: diva2:1965629
Note

QC 20250609

Available from: 2025-06-09 Created: 2025-06-09 Last updated: 2025-10-10Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full text

Authority records

Ren, Chao

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Ren, ChaoXu, Yan
By organisation
Information Science and Engineering
Mathematical sciences

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 24 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf