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Observations and modelling of mosquito prevalence within urban areas – A case study from Uppsala, Sweden
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
National Veterinary Institute, Uppsala, Sweden.
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden; WSP Sweden, Östersund, Sweden.
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
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2024 (English)In: Urban Ecosystems, ISSN 1083-8155, E-ISSN 1573-1642, Vol. 27, no 4, p. 1191-1205Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Urban green–blue infrastructure (GBI) can provide important benefits to urban residents but may also affect mosquito abundance, with associated negative nuisance and infection transmission impacts. This study addresses important knowledge and quantification gaps for the relationships between mosquito prevalence and GBI features within cities. This is done for the city of Uppsala in Sweden as an urban case example, where mosquitos were captured and ambient air temperature and humidity were observed at seven different locations in the summer of 2022. A weighted multi-critera analysis (WMCA) model was developed based on relevant open data and open tools for resolving the mosquito (Culex pipiens) variations based on geographical variables, such as land cover/use, leaf area index, and building and green (vegetation) area fractions, within the city. The results show a clear relationship between mosquito prevalence and green-area fraction (of grass and trees), indicating that urban GBI extension can enhance mosquito prevalence, with possible associated negative impacts. This relationship is supported directly by data, showing significantly higher mosquito prevalence with higher ambient humidity, which in turn is related to larger green-area fraction. The developed WMCA model emerges as a promising tool, e.g., for urban development planning that needs to account for and seek relevant trade-off balances between positive and negative effects of urban GBI changes.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature , 2024. Vol. 27, no 4, p. 1191-1205
Keywords [en]
Culex pipiens, Geographical information system, Green–blue infrastructure, Urban warming
National Category
Physical Geography Ecology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-366549DOI: 10.1007/s11252-024-01511-7ISI: 001161138800001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85185106667OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-366549DiVA, id: diva2:1982535
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QC 20250708

Available from: 2025-07-08 Created: 2025-07-08 Last updated: 2025-07-08Bibliographically approved

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