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How Large AI Model Empowers Time-Series Forecasting for the Operation and Maintenance of Industrial Automation System?
Xi’an Jiaotong University, School of Mechanical Engineering, Xi’an, China.ORCID iD: 0009-0007-8119-3869
Xi’an Jiaotong University, School of Mechanical Engineering, Xi’an, China.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2032-7815
Xi’an Jiaotong University, School of Mechanical Engineering, Xi’an, China.ORCID iD: 0009-0009-1330-9246
China Nuclear Power Engineering Company Ltd., Beijing, China.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6730-9094
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2025 (English)In: IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, ISSN 1551-3203, E-ISSN 1941-0050, Vol. 21, no 11, p. 8201-8213Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The advancement of large models has initiated a transformation in the field of time-series forecasting. Both the repurposing of existing large models and the development of large models tailored for time-series analysis have exhibited impressive performance. In industrial applications, challenges, such as limited data availability and constrained computational resources, render the first approach viable. However, it is important to note that this approach is still in its infancy and lacks both a thorough technical analysis and a unified effective framework. Meanwhile, as large models become a mainstream artificial intelligence paradigm, it is urgent to discuss typical industrial scenarios, such as how automated systems can transition from intelligent to collaborative operation and maintenance. In light of this premise, this article endeavors to advance a generalized technical framework for large model-driven time-series forecasting, under which existing methods can be subsumed. Then, within this overarching technical paradigm, the technical advancements facilitated by diverse methods will be systematically elucidated and analyzed, along with a comparative evaluation conducted across seven benchmark datasets. Concluding this analysis, the implementation pathway for the industrial automation system is delineated that integrates operator action commands to forecast post-action trends to assess action correctness in advance. Finally, the challenges and future directions of large model-based time-series forecasting are outlined.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2025. Vol. 21, no 11, p. 8201-8213
Keywords [en]
Generalized technical framework, industrial automation system (IAS), large language models (LLMs), operation and maintenance, time-series forecasting (TSF)
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-368590DOI: 10.1109/TII.2025.3575118ISI: 001536881600001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105011720480OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-368590DiVA, id: diva2:1990034
Note

QC 20260126

Available from: 2025-08-19 Created: 2025-08-19 Last updated: 2026-01-26Bibliographically approved

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Pang, Zhibo

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