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Urban green infrastructure for flood resilience: Runoff sink-source regime shifts and vegetation structure influences
School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.
School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.
School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China.
KTH, School of Architecture and the Built Environment (ABE), Sustainable development, Environmental science and Engineering, Water and Environmental Engineering. Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden, Stockholm; Department of Sustainable Development, Environmental Science and Engineering, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden, Stockholm.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9408-4425
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2025 (English)In: Geography and Sustainability, ISSN 2096-7438, Vol. 6, no 5, article id 100333Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Over the period of rainfall, urban green infrastructures (UGI) function like a sponge by absorbing surface runoff as sinks; however, they will shift to sources once their runoff reduction capacities are exceeded. This dynamic of sink-source shifts, and its dependence on the vegetation structure, remain poorly understood, limiting the action of flood-resilient UGI strategies. This study employs MIKE SHE/11 model coupled with statistical analysis for such resolution. Across four scenarios ranging from light to heavy rainfall, we identified regime shifts in UGI system through the decreasing to increasing trends of sink fractions, typically occurring around 13–18 h after rainfall starts. Based on these regime shifts, we categorized the UGI system into vulnerable, reliable, and recoverable components, highlighting its heterogeneous performance. In addition, by examining the influence of vegetation structure on sink–source dynamics, we found that a higher probability of sinks under light rainfalls was associated with a greater leaf area index (LAI) and vegetation height standard deviation (VH<inf>STD</inf>), while green volume (GV) and canopy height (CH) played a more prominent role under heavier rainfalls. Threshold effect analysis further revealed that, a high proportion of the recoverable parts met the thresholds of CH (82 %) and GV (85 %), whereas fewer reached the thresholds of LAI (15 %–19 %) and VH<inf>STD</inf> (3 %–6 %). These findings underscore the importance of enhancing 3D vegetation configuration for UGI to adapt to flood impacts. Our study expects to provide actionable knowledge for understanding, quantification, and management of the runoff sink-source dynamics, informing UGI design and planning to achieve urban flood resilience.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier BV , 2025. Vol. 6, no 5, article id 100333
Keywords [en]
Flood resilience, Flood risk management, Runoff sink-source, Urban ecosystem services, Urban green infrastructure, Vegetation structure effects
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-369052DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2025.100333ISI: 001555128000001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105010897629OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-369052DiVA, id: diva2:1997877
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QC 20250915

Available from: 2025-09-15 Created: 2025-09-15 Last updated: 2025-09-15Bibliographically approved

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