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A Generic Scene-Dependent Credibility Evaluation Framework for Machine Learning-based Transient Stability Assessment of Power Systems
Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5795-3916
Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0867-8153
Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.
KTH, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS), Intelligent systems, Information Science and Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9096-8792
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2026 (English)In: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, ISSN 0885-8950, E-ISSN 1558-0679, Vol. 41, no 1, p. 773-776Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Machine learning (ML)-based transient stability assessment (TSA) provides extraordinary accuracy performance while limited by potential misjudgment risks. To address this issue, this letter originally develops a generic scene-dependent credibility evaluation (SCE) framework. The variance upper bound of ML model prediction error is inferred using an improved localized generalization error estimation (ILGEE) method, and the probability density of system stability is furtherly described as a Gaussian distribution incorporating Neumann boundary condition. Then the scene-dependent credibility index (SCI) is ultimately derived and defined as the information entropy implying the uncertainty of TSA results. Case studies verify the validity of the SCE framework and demonstrate the promising 100% accurate TSA performance with critical proposed SCI as 0.93.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) , 2026. Vol. 41, no 1, p. 773-776
Keywords [en]
Credibility evaluation, improved localized generalization error estimation, machine learning, Neumann boundary condition, transient stability assessment
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-373623DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2025.3633106ISI: 001659236100007Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105021879023OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kth-373623DiVA, id: diva2:2018887
Note

QC 20260122

Available from: 2025-12-04 Created: 2025-12-04 Last updated: 2026-01-22Bibliographically approved

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Ren, Chao

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